Chart of the Week: A housing recovery awaits

Published on 24 February 2025

Our COTW takes a look at the latest REINZ update of the Kiwi housing market. Activity remains subdued over January. House prices eked out a small gain, and sales are still on the mend.

Potentially lost in the noise of the Reserve Banks rate cuts, we also saw the latest REINZ housing data last week. Seasonally adjusted, house prices were up 0.2% over January, marking the third consecutive month of positive, albeit small, gains. But compared to their November 2021 peak, house prices are still down around 15%. Sales, despite some monthly volatility continue their slow upwards trajectory. Compared to last year sales were up 17.5%. Meanwhile listings and stock levels hit decade-high over the month. For now, things are still sluggish on the ground. But we’re hopeful for housing this year as lower interest rates spark life back into the market. Especially now that the RBNZ’s have signalled more rate reductions and potentially a move towards 3% this year. Our view remains - we expect to see house price growth of about 6% this year.

REINZ_HPI Jan25

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